Larry Fink is right - Bitcoin is the challenger to dollar dominance

April 1, 2025
Nigel Green

LARRY Fink said on Tuesday what many in finance have been opining for years: the US dollar’s reign as the world’s reserve currency is not guaranteed.

In his annual letter to investors, the chairman of BlackRock didn’t mince words. With debt spiralling, deficits deepening, and trust in traditional systems eroding, digital assets like Bitcoin may be better positioned than ever to take the crown.

And he’s right.

This wasn’t a casual remark from a crypto enthusiast on social media. It was a direct statement from the CEO of the world’s largest asset manager, overseeing more than $10 trillion in client assets.

Fink’s comments reflect something far bigger than a passing observation—they mark a decisive shift in tone from the financial establishment.

His warning is rooted in hard numbers. Since 1989, the US national debt has grown three times faster than GDP. If current spending trends continue, the Congressional Budget Office projects that by 2030, mandatory government spending and interest payments alone could consume all federal revenue. That leaves nothing - zero - for discretionary spending. And it leaves global markets with a stark question: how sustainable is America’s fiscal path?

Reserve currency status isn’t a lifetime appointment. It’s earned, and maintained, through discipline, stability, and confidence. The dollar became the world’s reserve not just because of the size of the US economy, but because global markets trusted it as a safe, liquid, and politically stable store of value.

That trust is showing signs of strain.

What makes Fink’s message even more notable is the solution he presents. Not gold. Not bonds. But Bitcoin.

He’s not theorising about a post-dollar world - he’s actively investing in the potential replacement.

BlackRock is now the largest issuer of spot Bitcoin ETFs, with $48 billion in assets under management as of March 28, according to SoSoValue. That’s no side bet. That is conviction. It is also one of the most significant institutional commitments to cryptocurrency to date.

And it’s not only BlackRock’s ETF division that’s leaning in. Traditional BlackRock funds themselves now hold shares in the firm’s own Bitcoin products, signalling a broader internal acceptance of the asset’s strategic value.

Fink isn’t placing Bitcoin on a pedestal out of ideology. His rationale is economic. Decentralized finance, he notes, is an “extraordinary innovation” - one that makes markets faster, cheaper, and more transparent. But with that innovation comes disruption.

If investors, governments, and corporations begin to view Bitcoin as more predictable or more reliable than fiat alternatives, the balance shifts. And once that shift begins, reserve currency status can fade faster than many imagine.

Sceptics will argue that Bitcoin is too volatile to be a serious alternative. But volatility is not a fixed trait - it evolves as liquidity grows, adoption widens, and regulatory clarity improves.

In 2009, Bitcoin was a niche experiment. Today, it’s an asset class with regulated ETFs, institutional custody solutions, audited reserves, and billions in inflows. The transformation isn’t coming. It’s already underway.

What’s also evolving is the perception of risk. For decades, the dollar was seen as the least risky store of value - because America was the most stable creditor. But now, with debt servicing costs exploding and bipartisan dysfunction becoming the norm, risk is being reassessed. And that reassessment is moving capital.

Quietly, but steadily, Bitcoin is being recognised not just as a hedge, but as a serious reserve alternative.

Fink’s statement also cuts through the ideological noise. It’s a market-based observation grounded in fiduciary responsibility.

He sees where capital is flowing, where innovation is happening, and where trust is shifting.

Some governments may resist this reality. Others, particularly those whose currencies have long been overshadowed by the dollar, may welcome a more multipolar monetary system. For countries managing dollar-denominated debt, a viable alternative reserve asset is more than a curiosity - it’s a potential lifeline. And that makes Bitcoin not just a financial evolution, but a geopolitical one.

It’s tempting to dismiss this moment as temporary, another cycle of hype and overreach. But this time feels different, because the warnings are coming from the heart of the establishment.

The very institutions that once scoffed at crypto are now building their strategies around it. Not just as a hedge, not just as a product. But as a response to what they see as deep, systemic imbalance in the global monetary order.

Larry Fink has put that imbalance front and centre. His firm isn’t just talking about digital assets - it’s anchoring client capital in them, which is a bet on what comes next.

The era of dollar dominance won’t end with a bang, but with a rebalancing. A gradual shift, accelerated by fiscal recklessness, technological breakthroughs, and changing investor priorities. That shift is already in motion.

Fink is simply acknowledging what many are still unwilling to say out loud: if the US doesn’t change course, Bitcoin may be what comes after.

Nigel Green, deVere Group CEO and founder